Will Ohio Issue 1 (Constitutional Abortion Rights Amendment) pass with more than 60% of the vote?
10
190Ṁ13kresolved Nov 9
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the total percentage of "Yes" votes for Ohio Issue 1 (which was voted on today, with about 25% reporting as of the creation of this market) is at least 60%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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With all counties >95% reporting, the initiative is at 56.6%.
At this point, I think this market can be resolved NO, because it's not even mathematically possible for the "Yes" vote to surpass 60%, unless NYT has substantially underestimated the number of votes (and even then, it's only possible if all the remaining votes are "Yes" - otherwise, it would take a truly massive underestimate to the number of votes for it to be possible).
Does anyone object to a NO resolution?