Will Ohio Issue 1 (Constitutional Abortion Rights Amendment) pass with more than 60% of the vote?
10
190Ṁ13kresolved Nov 9
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the total percentage of "Yes" votes for Ohio Issue 1 (which was voted on today, with about 25% reporting as of the creation of this market) is at least 60%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ95 | |
| 2 | Ṁ12 | |
| 3 | Ṁ9 | |
| 4 | Ṁ7 | |
| 5 | Ṁ0 |
Sort by:
With all counties >95% reporting, the initiative is at 56.6%.
At this point, I think this market can be resolved NO, because it's not even mathematically possible for the "Yes" vote to surpass 60%, unless NYT has substantially underestimated the number of votes (and even then, it's only possible if all the remaining votes are "Yes" - otherwise, it would take a truly massive underestimate to the number of votes for it to be possible).
Does anyone object to a NO resolution?
People are also trading
Related questions
Will All State's Pro-Abortion Ballot Intitiaves Pass In 2024?
8% chance
Will 60% of Americans approve abortion "for any reason" before 2030?
41% chance
Will Oregon voters pass or fail HB 2004 (Ranked Choice Voting) and by what margin?
Will Oregon voters pass or fail HJR 16 (Legislative Impeachment of State Executives) and by what margin?
Will Oregon voters pass or fail IP-17 (Oregon Rebate) and by what margin?