This market resolves YES if Virginia Question 1 (Should the Constitution of Virginia be amended to (i) protect the freedom to make personal decisions about prenatal care, childbirth, postpartum care, birth control, abortion, miscarriage management, and fertility care; (ii) protect doctors, nurses, and patients from being punished for these decisions; and (iii) allow for restrictions on access to abortion during the third trimester of pregnancy except when the patient's health is at risk or the pregnancy cannot survive?) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:

Majority of those voting on the amendment (Va. Const. art. XII, sec. 1); takes effect on the date the General Assembly prescribed when submitting it.

Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.

What the votes mean (official summary):

• YES: Adds Art. I Sec. 11-A: right to make and carry out own reproductive-care decisions, burdened only by a narrowly defined compelling health interest; third-trimester abortion may be regulated but not banned when medically indicated or fetus nonviable; no penalties for patients/helpers (official explanation).

• NO: Constitution stays silent on reproductive freedom; abortion remains governed by statute (official 'Present Law').

Results: resolves on the result certified by Virginia State Board of Elections / Department of Elections. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A.

Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution.

Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast.

Official source: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-constitutional-amendment-question-1/