The probability of /SG/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-write-a-twee has stayed relatively stable at close to 50% since mid-November last year. As some have already mentioned in the comments, this doesn't match the expected time decay of markets like this, where the probability should normally go down over time unless some news breaks that makes people think it is more likely to happen soon, or the probability distribution for when the event happens has most of its mass towards the end of the period being discussed. However, others have pointed out the this could actually be rational if people place a large credence on the possibility of Yudkowsky tweeting the word at the last minute to troll the market participants and/or make a profit. This market will resolve YES if he writes a tweet containing the word "rationalussy" on the last day of 2023 (CT).