Will any independent or third-party candidate (other than Sanders or King) be elected to the Senate in 2024?
12
57
Ṁ2.7kṀ230
Dec 1
1.1%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will any candidate who isn't affiliated with the Democratic or Republican parties win a U.S. Senate race in 2024, aside from Bernie Sanders and Angus King (both of whom are technically independents, but can be considered Democrats for all intents and purposes)? Yes, Kyrsten Sinema counts.
Get Ṁ600 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will a single third party candidate receive 2% or more of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
80% chance
Will there be a robust third party movement in America that impacts the 2024 Presidential race?
20% chance
Will any sitting or former member of Congress or state governor run in the Democratic Party primary for the 2024 Presidential Election?
28% chance
Will a Democrat be elected president in 2028?
52% chance
Will someone other than Joe Biden win at least one state in the 2024 Democratic Primary?
8% chance
Will a candidate who is not from a current major political party make it to a U.S. presidential election by 2052?
35% chance
Will a third party candidate qualify for at least one U.S. presidential debate in 2024?
30% chance
Will third party candidates account for more than 5.0% of the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
34% chance
Will an Independent candidate receive 1+ electoral votes in 2024 Presidential Election?
32% chance
Will any Senate seat flip from Republican to Democratic in the 2024 elections?
19% chance