What will be the new name for non-predictive markets?

1.2kṀ5095

resolved Oct 17

100%97%

Unranked

0.3%

The name will stay as "non-predictive".

0.1%

The non-predictive category will no longer exist.

0.2%

Non-Leagues

0.1%

il-league-al

0.1%

PvP

0.1%

Pure gamble

0.0%

minigames

0.0%

Non-Forecasting Markets

0.0%

Discounted

0.1%

Casual

1.6%Other

@SirSalty is reportedly working on changes the the Manifold community policy, including what counts as non-predictive and the name of the category. What will the new name be?

If the category ends up being split into multiple categories, and it isn't clear that one was meant to be the continuation of the non-predictive category, and another was meant to be a separate thing, I'll resolve equally to the names of the new categories.

If the name doesn't change by market close, resolves to, "The name will stay as 'non-predictive'."

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@JosephNoonan Looks like this was already changed. Should this be resolved in another way?

They're called "Unranked" now, though in my heart, "il-league-al" is the true name.

Is there any reason this can’t resolve immediately?

None that I can think of, and I'd say I've been following the new guideline developments pretty closely.

@SirSalty can you confirm?

The tag's name has been changed!

@Joshua And this is what toggling the "In Leagues" slider will put a market in, right?

Yeah I found out by flipping the toggle and seeing that the tag name changed

@Joshua There is a third toggle being added for "Subsidized" as well, though, right? I'm not sure if I should just resolve to "Unranked", since that's the first thing it was replaced by, or if I should resolve to the names of both categories after the process is finished. Maybe I should just resolve to "Unranked", since the market seems to be interpreting the resolution criteria that way.

Yeah the subsidy thing is a sub-category of nonpredictive/unranked.

Non-predictive markets are unranked markets now, but some unranked markets will be subsidized. So I think this resolves fully to unranked, as that's what the actual non-predictive tag that is still on all those same markets is now named.

@Joshua Oh, that's a good point. Yeah, I think I'll resolve it completely to Unranked, then.

btw. What are the criteria to become Trustworthyish?

@MrLuke255 There aren't explicit criteria, it's just whether Manifold employees think you're trustworthy.

@JosephNoonan Eventually they should probably outsource this to TUs as well. In the Arch Linux community, people apply for Trusted User status and require sponsorship from an existing TU, then a quorum of TUs hold a vote as to whether to appoint them as a new TU. Probably a reasonable model.

https://tu-bylaws.aur.archlinux.org/#_addition_of_a_tu