
I will determine popularity by the number of traders on the market. I won't count bounties or polls, since they're don't really have "traders" in the typical sense. This market resolves to the title of whatever market created by me is most popular at the end of 2023. It also counts if it is a previous title for a market whose title has since been changed, or a minor variant/misspelling, as long as I can tell what market it is.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ289 | |
2 | Ṁ121 | |
3 | Ṁ45 | |
4 | Ṁ27 | |
5 | Ṁ9 |
People are also trading
I'm surprised by how confident the market is that "Is Manifold just a bunch of white guys?" will beat the other two. Keep in mind that the Eliezer Yudkowsky market will be open for the rest of the year, while the "white guys" one won't. I could see a situation where it surpasses it eventually, especially if it gets a surge of new traders at the end of the year. As for the Whales vs. Minnows one, it's still ahead by 20 traders, so I wouldn't count it out yet either.