Conditional on being convicted before Election Day 2024, will Trump win the 2024 election?
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If Donald Trump is convicted of any crime before the day that the 2024 general election takes place, this resolves based on whether he wins the election. Otherwise, it resolves N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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This market doesn't specify that it needs to be felony charges nor federal charges, so this should be identical to his odds here: https://manifold.markets/jack/who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964
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