Yes/Yes: Trump will be convicted of a felony before the election, and will win the election

Yes/No: Trump will be convicted of a felony before the election, and will not win the election

No/Yes: Trump will not be convicted of a felony before the election, and will win the election

No/No: Trump will not be convicted of a felony before the election, and will not win the election

It’s the go-to refrain for Democrats watching Joe Biden fall behind Donald Trump in polls: Just wait until Trump is convicted.

This market will resolve according to these two markets: