Will the 2024 presidential election be a nail-biter throughout? (3-leg parlay, read description)
42
1kṀ6586resolved Nov 5
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves positive if ALL THREE of the outcomes take place:
Both candidates have 45-55% probability on Election Betting Odds at 12pm EST 11/4/24 (linked market)
CNN does not project a winner before 9am EST 11/6/24, the morning after election day (Example: 2004, 2020)
The winning candidate wins fewer than 300 electoral votes (Example: 2000, 2004)
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Market resolves No because the first of three outcomes resolved as No:
Both candidates have 45-55% probability on Election Betting Odds at 12pm EST 11/4/24 (linked market)