Will the 2024 presidential election be a nail-biter throughout? (3-leg parlay, read description)
➕
Plus
42
Ṁ6586
resolved Nov 5
Resolved
NO

Resolves positive if ALL THREE of the outcomes take place:

  • Both candidates have 45-55% probability on Election Betting Odds at 12pm EST 11/4/24 (linked market)

  • CNN does not project a winner before 9am EST 11/6/24, the morning after election day (Example: 2004, 2020)

  • The winning candidate wins fewer than 300 electoral votes (Example: 2000, 2004)

#️ Politics
#🇺🇸 US Politics
#Trump
#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election
#Kamala Harris
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
sold Ṁ55 YES

Market resolves No because the first of three outcomes resolved as No:

  • Both candidates have 45-55% probability on Election Betting Odds at 12pm EST 11/4/24 (linked market)

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules