This market resolves YES if Rafał Trzaskowski wins the 2025 Polish presidential election, either in the first round (May 18, 2025) or second round (June 1, 2025) if necessary. The market resolves NO if any other candidate wins.

Trzaskowski is the candidate backed by the Civic Coalition and current Mayor of Warsaw. His victory would significantly impact Poland's political landscape.

Resolution will be based on the official results announced by the National Electoral Commission of Poland (PKW).

References:

• https://www.chathamhouse.org/publications/the-world-today/2025-03/tusk-eyes-chance-purge-far-right-polands-presidential-election

• https://notesfrompoland.com/2025/02/17/will-the-ruling-partys-candidate-lose-the-polish-presidential-election/