Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market creator publicly states they have achieved "Masters rank" on Manifold Markets by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The market creator will be the sole judge of this achievement.

Background

Manifold Markets is an online prediction platform where users engage in competitive forecasting using play money called 'Mana'. The platform incorporates a ranking system that tracks user performance, contributing to various "leagues". While the specific criteria for achieving "Masters rank" are not publicly detailed, it is understood to represent a significant level of performance and engagement within the Manifold community.

Considerations

Its resolution relies entirely leagues and reported rank on Manifold Markets by the specified deadline. I will not spend money on mana.

I will not bet no on this market.

• Update 2025-10-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated they will not spend any money on mana in pursuit of achieving Masters rank.