Will Putin attack NATO if long range strikes by Ukraine are permitted?
Basic
14
Ṁ948Nov 1
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Putin says NATO will be at war with Russia if long range strikes are permitted. This market will resolve NA if no long range strikes are permitted by USA and UK. Yes if Russia attacks a NATO member in a non-hybrid way. No if they don’t.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/12/putin-ukraine-missile-restrictions-nato-war-russia
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Ukraine attack Russia with long-range U.S. missiles before Biden leaves office?
99% chance
Will the US permit Ukraine to strike into Russia before 2025
97% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine?
9% chance
If NATO troops fight in the Ukraine war, will Russia use a nuclear weapon?
23% chance
Will Vladimir Putin live to see Ukraine join NATO?
25% chance
Will Russia attack a NATO country this year?
4% chance
Will Russia launch an armed attack against a NATO member by the end of November 2024?
2% chance
Will Russia attack NATO before 2034?
10% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine?
8% chance
Will Russia launch an armed attack against a NATO member by the end of 2024?
5% chance