When will this question:
https://manifold.markets/PeterSchmidtNielsen/are-the-majority-of-the-final-bits
... first go <10% or >90%, and then stay there for a solid hour? Even a momentary blip back into the range 10% ≤ x ≤ 90% breaks the "solid hour".
In some sense, this is a proxy for the problem being solved, but with a lot of other shenanigans possible, of course.
(All days are in PDT. I will count based on the start time, so if it goes to 95% at 23:30 PDT on July 4th, and stays there for an hour, that counts as July 4th, not July 5th.)
Update 2025-07-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated they are unable to resolve past date-answers to NO before the market's final resolution. This is due to a technical limitation of the chosen market type.
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