In what country will the next pandemic start?
10
Ṁ1.8kṀ3632040
13%
11%
China
7%
India
7%
Russia
4%
Indonesia
4%
Democratic Republic of Congo
3%
Nigeria
3%
Thailand
3%
Laos
3%
Pakistan
3%
Bangladesh
3%
Afghanistan
3%
Tunisia
3%
United States
3%
Mexico
2%
Tanzania
2%
Uganda
2%
Vietnam
2%
Brazil
2%
Saudi Arabia
In the event of a natural pandemic, this resolves to the country where the relevant zoonotic spillover is deemed most likely to have occurred.
In the event of a lab leak pandemic, this resolves to the country where the lab leak occurred.
I added the world's 10 most populous countries, feel free to add more.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
New pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket]
6% chance
Will the world face another covid-like pandemic in 2030s?
When will the next pandemic occur?
2034
In what year will the next pandemic occur that is as bad or worse than COVID?
2043
Will the next pandemic be worse than COVID?
Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?
32% chance
Will the next pandemic originate in a laboratory?
25% chance
When will we have another pandemic killing more people than COVID-19?
Will there be another major pandemic before the end of 2030
30% chance
Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?
36% chance