If Biden wins, what will US bond yields be at the end of 2025?
Basic
3
Ṁ39resolved Sep 4
Resolved
N/A1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Biden does not win the 2024 US presidential election, resolves N/A.
If Biden does win, resolves to the bond yield on the US 10-year government bond at the end of 2025, times ten. For example, a 4.80% bond yield would result in a "48%" resolution on this question, and so on. A bond yield of 10% or higher results in a "Yes" resolution on this question.
As a source of bond yields, I will use the the "10y" column on the US Dept of Treasury's published yield curve, here: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value_month=202403
I'll use the last published date in 2025.
I will not trade in this market.
Compare:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
If Trump wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 2.5%)?
39% chance
If Trump wins, what will US bond yields be at the end of 2025?
32% chance
Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 12/31/2024 be 4% or higher?
95% chance
Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 12/31/2024 be 3.5% or higher?
96% chance
What will be the highest treasury 10 year yield this year?
63% chance
Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 12/31/2024 be 3% or higher?
96% chance
If Inflation is below 5% in 2024, Who will win the presidential election? (Biden or Trump)
How high will the Fed rate be at the end of 2024?
Will US federal interest rates be raised again by the end of 2024?
2% chance
If Trump wins, what will the US unemployment rate be at the end of 2026?
45% chance