Will Azerbaijan attack Armenia by Dec 15th 2023?
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630Ṁ13kresolved Dec 15
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YES if military troops of Azerbaijan will cross at least for a 1 day official Armenian border on any OSINT map before 16th of December.
P.S. Previously occupied or contested terrirories (~ 50 km2) not counted
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Armenia%E2%80%93Azerbaijan_border_crisis_%282021%E2%80%93present%29
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Blinken responded that the State Department was looking at avenues to hold Azerbaijan accountable and isn’t planning to renew a long-standing waiver that allows the U.S. to provide military assistance to Baku. He added that State saw a possibility that Azerbaijan would invade southern Armenia in the coming weeks.
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