Will resolve based on official announcements or news article in NYT or WSJ confirming layoffs of 5% or more of engineering.
Nov 20, 10:43am: Will Google layoff 5% or more of engineering FTEs by end of 2023 → Will Google layoff 5% or more of engineering FTEs by end of 2023?
The market creator also went all in on YES before mis-resolving.... IMO @Paul deserves the untrustworthy badge.
@RyanMoulton Can we still flag improper resolutions? I can’t find the flag on the app.
@jack Thanks. FWIW I was betting yes and made profits but I still think there was no reason to call it.
While this doesn't mean Google will layoff 6%, Google has shifted it's target for low performer ratings from 2% to 6%: https://www.fortune.com/2022/11/23/google-toughening-performance-reviews-employees-fear-layoffs/
Meta reportedly ranked more employees as performers than they typical do before their recent layoff.
Market on an individual FTE https://manifold.markets/MichaelBlume/will-i-be-firedlaid-offlet-go-in-th