Will Nostr Significantly Gain on Mastodon By June 2024?
TechnologyCultureInternetSocial MediaFediverseThird Party Validated, Predictive Markets: Social Media
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αΉ€4.3k
resolved Jun 2
Resolved
NO

https://star-history.com/#nostr-protocol/nostr&mastodon/mastodon&Date

At the time of creating this market, the ratio of Nostr/Mastodon = 0.1887

Will Nostr catch up to Mastodon -- meaning, will the ratio of Github stars of Noster divided by Mastodon be greater than 0.2453 by June 2024?

Future of Social Media Markets:

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@PatrickDelaney resolves NO

Why 0.2453 ?

Nostr is a protocol, and Mastodon is a product/service.

I'm not sure it's a fair comparison, tbh.

https://manifold.markets/PatrickDelaney/outcome-of-threads-joining-the-fedi

Outcome of Threads Joining the Fediverse
Inspried by this article: https://privacy.thenexus.today/just-blocking-threads-isnt-enough/ Threads has rolled out the welcome mat to Nazi supporters, anti-LGBTQ extremists, and white supremacists, including groups like Libs of TikTok that harass trans people. If you’re not familiar with Libs of…

https://manifold.markets/PatrickDelaney/will-bluesky-atproto-hit-over-20k-s

Will Bluesky ATProto Hit Over 20k Stars on Github by June 2024?
50% chance. https://star-history.com/#bluesky-social/atproto&Date [link preview]Snapshot of previous growth rate: [image]Resolution on: https://github.com/bluesky-social/atproto Other Future of Social Media Markets: [markets]

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