Will Misskey Significantly Gain on Mastodon by end of 2024?
3
Ṁ70Ṁ15Jan 1
44%
chance
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1M
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At the time of creating this market, the ratio of Miskey/Mastodon
= (1,496,130)/(9,039,016) = 0.166
According to:
Will the Miskey/Mastodon ratio increase by a factor of 1.3.
Resolves yes, if ratio above 0.216
.
.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@duck_master Previous data source seems to be down. Should I switch it to this? https://fedidb.org/ I believe the metric was supposed to be Lemmy vs. Mastodon, not Miskey, based upon the new database having a much higher number of Lemmy users, but I'm not sure.
@PatrickDelaney My mistake, Miskey does indeed have the higher number of users, so the description appears to be wrong. I will update that. What are your thoughts on updating the source? Otherwise it seems I may need to resolve this as N/A.