I will not bet on this market.
20230829 - To clarify the market further from some of the comments from @RobertCousineau ... in some instances, I may publish a few days early, if I feel my audience will not read if I publish on my normal Monday schedule. For example, I published on June 30th rather than the week of July 4th, because the majority of my audience is from the United States, and there was a 4th of July holiday coming up, where I know from experience people are not active online. Other examples may include but are not limited to MEA Week, Halloween, Thanksgiving, Christmas/Ramadan/New Year/Jewish Holidays, President's Day/MLK, etc. and so on, taking into account a US holiday schedule. Again, I may or may not publish a few days early, it just depends upon how the holiday lands within the week. "ON TIME," will mean, either every two weeks or slightly early, for the purposes of creating maximum impact.
If you bet on this market and felt that you lost mana because of this lack of clarification please comment below and I will compensate you.
1,000
3.00New market for remainder of the year:
https://manifold.markets/PatrickDelaney/personal-will-i-successfully-write
Dang I am sorry everyone, I missed yesterday. I had a huge life event change. I had aimed to pre-schedule out a bunch of polished out posts for the remainder of the year in anticipation for this, but it is really hard to write that last 10% of an article before hitting publish.
I am going to start another market on this for the remainder of the year. Thank you for following this and for believing in me for those who did. Obviously I am not happy with myself here but I just have to keep at it. Aiming to still publish this week, something smaller.
@RobertCousineau Technically there's a 14-day gap, but he's still publishing 26 posts in a year. Why would he be penalized for releasing the occasional article a few days early?
@RobertCousineau I released that one early due to the 4th of July week coming up in the following week. I could have easily released it on Monday with the scheduling function built-in to Substack but no one would have read it. I neglected to make a comment on here because I thought no one really cared as long as I did it ahead of schedule.
@MichaelWheatley the question is "Will I publish on time, every two weeks". A seventeen day gap means he did not do so.
@PatrickDelaney for what it's worth, I certainly would have appreciated that comment/clarification.
There were two weeks with no posts. You say in the title, every two weeks.
I understand where you are coming from, but think that if you wanted the question to be "Will I publish >=2 articles every thirty day period" that's what the title should be, not "every two weeks".
Derivative market for those interested. Basically, if I fail to hit this market, (e.g. publish on time each couple of weeks), then arguably I will not be able to hit the 1000 subscriber goal on the derivative market below.
