I will not bet on this market
By my understanding from what I can tell from my internal metrics on my profile, this chart tracks my mileage (even though there's a seperate number that says 0 miles, the bars line up with my miles logged for each month on the chart).
Resolves YES if the bar goes above the specified goal by the end of the last day of the specified month and year in the title, following CST otherwise NO.
If something odd happens with the measurement or graph on the Strava Public page, I will resolve N/A.
I can provide screenshots of my profile pages if requested.
UPDATE FROM PREVIOUS MONTH:
While I couldn't quite make 60 in May due to exhaustion, I was able to achieve 80 in June. That being said it was extremely difficult and wiped me out. A lot of this seems to be weather dependant, if it's hotter, it just kills me. I still had a good almost week or so left so getting to 80 would be no problem. I think a lot of this comes down to how much I can front load my miles toward the beginning of the month and then focus on being steady through the rest of the month.
NOTE - to be clear, the past couple of months I have been running this, I am only logging running and walking miles, not biking. If I bike, I will not log it...just wanted to be clear about that.
My Recent Historical Records.
Evidently the last time I logged over 100 miles was July 2019, and biking was around 18 or so of those miles. So effectively I have never run over 100 miles per month as far as Strava goes.
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I am at over 100 on my private board.
That being said, as discussed below, I am still of by about 10 miles so I won't resolve until I hit that 100 mile figure on my public board. Currently it looks like I'm just under 90:
I have been able to run 5 miles per day fairly typically this month, however where I am at the temp is supposed to be about 100 degrees F for the next 3 days so it might be fairly close to the wire here, not sure.
My public board is showing:
Which, I think is more accurate for this month, e.g. I'm just below 60 miles of running/walking, matching approximately where I was for May.
I had attempted to make sure any miles that I bike do not show up on my public board, which I think they do not. However when I use my internal metrics, I'm showing that I'm at 69.4 miles as of yesterday for the month.
So I think the extra 10 or so miles is from biking two times, once about 8 miles. Stating this is in the interests of transparency, I'm still closer to 60 than 70 at this point.
That being said, with 14 days left, I'm going to have to average about 2.8 miles per day to hit 100.
I also have this goal on top of the above goal, which might make things a bit tricker. https://manifold.markets/PatrickDelaney/personal-will-i-successfully-avoid