How Will the, "Long Term Markets Matter vs. Don't Matter" Poll Resolve? Ratio of (Matters)/(Total Votes)
8
170Ṁ136resolved Dec 5
Resolved as
46%1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to the percentage ratio between the two options after the poll closes.
This market resolves to the percentage ratio between the two options after the poll closes, with the formula % = (Long Term Markets Matter / Long Term Markets Don't Matter)
Edit: the above formula had to be changed (thought was probably obvious) from:
% = (Long Term Markets Matter / Long Term Markets Don't Matter)
To:
% = (Long Term Markets Matter / Total Votes )
Referring To This Poll:
Other Relevant Polls:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ8 | |
| 2 | Ṁ7 | |
| 3 | Ṁ1 | |
| 4 | Ṁ0 | |
| 5 | Ṁ0 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will this [Major Market] Resolve YES? (gauging resolve NA or %'s probability)
On January 31st, 2025, when this market closes, will this market be predicted to resolve "No"?
50% chance
This question will resolve based on the number of votes for the market linked below
57% chance
What markets will resolve Yes if Trump Elected, but No if anyone else is elected? [Free Response Correlation Market]
At close, what % of the Manifold users will think that GiveWell's work before 2023 was net positive? Resolves in 100 years, but has .1% chance to resolve each year. Vote Yes to increase %.
87% chance
Is average probability (upon resolution) of manifold.markets questions less than 50% for all questions settled in 2024
75% chance
Will any of these "should-be-0%" market resolve Yes?
4% chance
What 2024 markets will resolve in the same direction as Trump winning the election? [Free Response Correlation Market]
One year from now, will the percentage that this question resolves YES (as shown by Manifold) be above 50%?
38% chance