Will the German Day-Ahead electricity baseload price for October 15, 2026, be below €185/MWh?
3
Ṁ121Ṁ433Oct 14
96%
chance
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This market predicts whether the German-Luxembourg (DE-LU) Day-Ahead electricity baseload price for October 15, 2026, will be strictly below €185/MWh.
The result will be determined using the arithmetic average of the 96 quarter-hourly Day-Ahead auction prices for the delivery date.
Resolution:
YES if the daily average is below €185/MWh.
NO if the daily average is €185/MWh or higher.
Official data source: EPEX SPOT Day-Ahead auction results, Germany-Luxembourg bidding zone, also published through SMARD (German Federal Network Agency).
The market must close on October 14, 2026, at 11:00 AM Berlin time (CEST), before the Day-Ahead auction closes and its results become publicly available.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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