Will I weigh 150lbs at the end of September?

Question

I have historically been underweight, but have been trying to gain weight recently. At the time of creating this market, I weigh 142.4 lbs.

On the morning of September 30, I will weigh myself. If the result is >150 lbs, resolves YES, and if <=150 lbs, resolves NO. I will post daily updates.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 42% chance (2 traders, as of Aug 18, 2026).

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