Will US average gas price exceed $4/gallon in March 2026?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ80Mar 31
22%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the US national average retail gas price (regular unleaded) exceeds $4.00/gallon at any point during March 2026, per AAA or EIA data.
Context: US/Israeli strikes on Iran began February 28, 2026. Iran has attempted to close the Strait of Hormuz. Oil futures are elevated.
As of late February 2026, US average gas was approximately $3.20-3.40/gallon.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!