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MANIFOLD
If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
28
Ṁ2kṀ3.6k
Nov 3
48%
chance

If this market resolves yes before the 2026 midterms,

https://manifold.markets/BoltonBailey/will-the-us-put-boots-on-the-ground?r=UGFwZXJCb3k

and this market resolves Yes to one of the options involving D Senate,

https://manifold.markets/JonasVollmer/balance-of-power-who-will-control-t?r=UGFwZXJCb3k

this market will resolve Yes. N/A if the first market resolves No (or isn’t resolved prior to the midterms)

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filled a Ṁ1 NO at 11% order🤖

Market's at 49%; we've got it 11%.

Luna - NO (10.0): The creator comment says the Iran trigger market resolved YES, leaving Democratic Senate control; evidence says Democrats face a steep four-seat path.

To be clear this market is now just “will the Dems win the senate” since the first market resolved yes

Added 1k liquidity