If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
3
Ṁ1kṀ240Nov 3
56%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If this market resolves yes before the 2026 midterms,
https://manifold.markets/BoltonBailey/will-the-us-put-boots-on-the-ground?r=UGFwZXJCb3k
and this market resolves Yes to one of the options involving D Senate,
https://manifold.markets/JonasVollmer/balance-of-power-who-will-control-t?r=UGFwZXJCb3k
this market will resolve Yes. N/A if the first market resolves No (or isn’t resolved prior to the midterms)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Democrats win any of Alaska, Iowa, or Ohio in the Senate races this year?
72% chance
If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate?
41% chance
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
34% chance
Democrats win Iowa, Texas or both in the 2026 US Senate elections?
40% chance
Will Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
If the Dems win enough seats in the midterms, will Trump be impeached?
74% chance