MANIFOLD
Will the Trump administration kidnap another head of state by the end of his second term?
9
แน€1kแน€1.8k
2029
16%
chance

This market will resolve Yes if the United States military or intelligence aparatus under President Trump executes another successful operation to capture an acting head of state (or head of government) by the end of January 19th 2029. If an operation is attempted but the head of state spends no time alive in US custody, it will not be sufficient to resolve Yes. The legality and moral pretext for the kidnapping are not salient to this market. Former heads of state, de facto power brokers, and religious figureheads who are not also a head of state/government do not count. Feel free to ask clarifying questions in the comments.

Market context
Get
แน€1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
ยฉ Manifold Markets, Inc.โ€ขTermsโ€ขPrivacy