Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by 2040? [Ṁ1500 Pool]
23
1.9kṀ1220
2041
86%
Indonesia
86%
Saudi Arabia
81%
Bolivia
75%
Syria
73%
Comoros
70%
Lebanon
69%
Oman
67%
Bangladesh
66%
South Africa
63%
Qatar
61%
Somalia
61%
Mauritania
60%
Maldives
58%
Tunisia
57%
Venezuela
55%
Iran
55%
Djibouti
50%
Mali
50%
Niger
50%
Belize

Any number of these states can resolve Yes at any time between now and the end of 2040. All remaining will resolve No at that time. If recognition is granted and then later withdrawn, the Yes resolution will remain.

In the last few years, multiple nations have normalized relations with Israel, such as Morocco, UAE, and Kosovo. Will this trend pick up again, or will the recent destruction in Palestine cause a long diplomatic winter?

If any states break preexisting relations with Israel, they can be added by me. If recognition is ambiguous, each entry will resolve based on the removal of a state from the color-coded categories on this Wikipedia list: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_recognition_of_Israel#List_by_country

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy