Will Ukraine be a featured topic on Manifold on Jan 1, 2025?
Mini
11
á¹€232
Jan 1
80%
chance

That's what the top of my Manifold homepage looks like now:

If I scroll to the right, "Ukraine" comes into view:

The first time I log on to Manifold in 2025, I will search this top bar for references to Ukraine, and resolve "Yes" if I find anything ("Ukraine", "Ukraine-Russia war", "UA-RU" etc.)

If the top bar disappears and is replaced by a different form of highlight, I will use that if it seems similar enough and lists 10-25 topics (I see 18 at the moment), or resolve N/A.

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á¹€1,000
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S1.00