I don't see any rational reason why this market should be at 50%, what is the survival rate 6 months after entering a critical condition?

https://www.sccm.org/Communications/Critical-Care-Statistics#:~:text=Overall%2C%20mortality%20rates%20in%20patients,%2C%20comorbidities%2C%20and%20illness%20severity.

Google states 10-29%. Perhaps it's a lot higher, but 50% is a suspicious number

SCCM | Critical Care Statistics

This guide provides statistics on many of the current issues in critical care in the United States. It is intended to be used as a reference in efforts such as advocacy, public relations, and general education.

@ElliotDavies At the moment, I haven't seen any actual evidence he's in a critical condition. I know about the rumors, but there was no named or credible source for them yet.

@PS This is definitely possible, but why should the market sit at 50%?

@ElliotDavies Not sure. The "Kadyrov alive" markets are at 57% at the moment:

Perhaps the 15% difference to this market's 42% is about him being alive but too sick to rule?