Will Ramzan Kadyrov still be head of Chechnya on Jan 1, 2024?
33
closes Jan 1
68%
chance

Get Ṁ500 play money

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PS avatar
PS

@ElliotDavies At the moment, I haven't seen any actual evidence he's in a critical condition. I know about the rumors, but there was no named or credible source for them yet.

ElliotDavies avatar
Elliot Daviesbought Ṁ45 of NO

@PS This is definitely possible, but why should the market sit at 50%?

PS avatar
PS

@ElliotDavies Not sure. The "Kadyrov alive" markets are at 57% at the moment:

Perhaps the 15% difference to this market's 42% is about him being alive but too sick to rule?