Will a ceasefire be agreed between Russia and Ukraine in 2024?
Wars•Ukraine-Russia war•Ukraine•Russia
29
102
Ṁ570
2025
16%
chance

Both Russia and Ukraine have to officially confirm within 2024 they have agreed to cease all military action for any length of time. As opposed to other markets, it does not have to be implemented by the parties; it resolves Yes immediately after mutual confirmation of the intention.

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@42irrationalist Every time you find one of my Russia markets, the same thing happens 😁

predicts NO

@PS 😂 lmao, real.

@42irrationalist Sorry if this is unwanted, but there are a few more you might find overpriced:
https://manifold.markets/PS/will-significant-numbers-of-russian
https://manifold.markets/PS/will-the-front-line-in-ukraine-chan-2164feaa6721
https://manifold.markets/PS/will-russia-run-out-of-money

predicts NO

@PS Totally wanted, thank you!

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