Who will be US President on January 1, 2029?
16
819
2029
33%
Joe Biden
34%
Donald Trump
4%
Kamala Harris
0.9%
No one/office no longer exists
3%
Nikki Haley
3%
Ron DeSantis
2%
A Democrat (do not pick, see description)
3%
A Republican (do not pick, see description)
18%
Other

Anyone can add new answers, which will be split off from "other".

If there is more than one person that fits the description (that is, the presidency changes on January 1, 2029), I will resolve to the last person holding the office on that day.

UPD: Please note that this market is about individuals, not groups (like "a democrat" or "a human"). Only one answer will be picked; if an individual is not on the list, it will be "other".

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A Democrat (do not pick, see description)

@AaronBreckenridge Please note that this market is about individuals, not groups. Only one answer will be picked; if an individual is not on the list, it will be "other".

please don’t change the rules after starting markets I didn’t read the rules

I guess you can resolve those NA

@AaronBreckenridge I'm not changing the rules. The market was created as "dependent", with only one possible answer; however, this information was only made explicit in the market details, since I hadn't thought of the possibility of anyone mentioning groups. So I'm just pointing out the already existing rules. Sorry!

ah my bad, I thought this was an unlinked market

@AaronBreckenridge PS. If you genuinely didn't notice, I can reimburse you the mana for these two options.

no that’s fine

@AaronBreckenridge Do you think it would be better to rename these options so that people who haven't read the whole description don't pick them? I don't think there's a way to delete options...

@PS Negatory

@AaronBreckenridge Is this OK?

@PS 👍

The conditions of this market are such that only one outcome can be chosen. Therefore, several answers must be excluded (Republican, Democrat), because they aren't viable for this format, or the conditions must be adjusted accordingly.