What share of the vote will the SPD receive in the next German federal election?
Plus
15
Ṁ5102025
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The next federal election in Germany will presumably take place in the fall of 2025. What share of the propotional vote ("Zweitstimme") will the SPD receive?
The market will resolve to the share as stated in the final official record. You can find a summary of current polling here, for example.
See also:
Close date updated to 2025-12-31 11:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?
50% chance
Will the SPD or AFD receive more seats in the next federal election of Germany?
What share of the vote will the CDU/CSU receive in the next German federal election?
33% chance
What share of the vote will the AFD receive in the next German federal election?
27% chance
Will the AfD be the party with the most votes in eastern Germany in the next federal election?
81% chance
What will be the results of the next German federal election?
Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections?
Will the FDP be part of the next German parliament?
42% chance
Which of these parties will get seats in the German Bundestag after the next federal election?
What share of the vote will the Greens receive in the next German federal election?
12% chance