
What share of the vote will the SPD receive in the next German federal election?
15
1kṀ561resolved Mar 14
Resolved as
16%1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The next federal election in Germany will presumably take place in the fall of 2025. What share of the propotional vote ("Zweitstimme") will the SPD receive?
The market will resolve to the share as stated in the final official record. You can find a summary of current polling here, for example.
See also:
Close date updated to 2025-12-31 11:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ7 | |
2 | Ṁ3 | |
3 | Ṁ2 | |
4 | Ṁ1 | |
5 | Ṁ1 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the FDP receive more than 5% of the vote in the next German federal election (regularly in 2029)?
39% chance
Will AfD get 21+% in 2029 German Federal Elections?
60% chance
Will the German political party AfD (right to far-right) get over 35% of the votes in the next election?
20% chance