Will convex.dev still be around in roughly its current form in 5yr?

Question

I've very much enjoyed my initial forays into this web-app-building tool, and am considering investing more effort in building things with it; but I'm mildly concerned that it will go bankrupt, or turn into a monster like Firebase, or pivot into something else entirely.

Resolves YES on 2028-10-01 if Convex, in my judgement, still offers "basically the same thing" (optionally plus other things too).

Resolves YES on 2028-10-01 if Convex, in my judgement, still offers "basically the same thing" (optionally plus other things too).

Resolves NO on 2028-10-01 or earlier if Convex stops offering what it currently offers.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 23% chance (7 traders, as of Feb 18, 2025).

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