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MANIFOLD
Will GTA 7 be announced before 2036?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ15
2035
47%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Rockstar Games or its parent company Take-Two Interactive officially announces Grand Theft Auto VII (or GTA 7) before January 1, 2036 (specifically by December 31, 2035, at 11:59 PM UTC).

An "official announcement" must meet at least one of the following criteria:

  • A formal press release or newswire post on the Rockstar Games official website explicitly naming the game (Grand Theft Auto VII, Grand Theft Auto 7, GTA VII, or GTA 7).

  • A debut trailer or teaser trailer published on Rockstar Games' official YouTube channel or social media.

  • An official SEC filing or press release from Take-Two Interactive announcing the project by name.

Notes and Edge Cases:

  • Vague statements regarding "the next installment in the Grand Theft Auto series is underway" or general pre-production confirmations will not count unless they explicitly reference "7" or "VII" in the name.

  • Joking references, off-hand executive comments during investor calls (such as Strauss Zelnick's brief mention in 2024), and unofficial developer leaks will not qualify as an official announcement.

  • If no official announcement meeting these criteria has occurred by December 31, 2035, at 11:59 PM UTC, the market will resolve to NO.

Background

Following its initial reveal in December 2023, Grand Theft Auto VI is officially scheduled to release on November 19, 2026, for the PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S. This represents a 13-year gap since the launch of Grand Theft Auto V in 2013.

While Take-Two CEO Strauss Zelnick playfully joked "GTA 7?" during the TD Cowen Conference in mid-2024 when asked about the future of Rockstar's release cadence, no formal development plans, titles, or timelines have been established for a seventh mainline entry. Given the massive scale and development cycles associated with modern Rockstar titles, this market tracks whether the successor to GTA 6 will see its first official marketing push before 2036.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

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are yall stupid theres a release date already