This market resolves to YES if:
Rockstar Games (or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive) officially announces a new release date for GTA 6 that is later than the most recently announced official release date (November 19, 2026), before the game launches.
This market resolves to NO if:
GTA 6 launches on or before the most recently announced official release date without any further official delay announcements.
“Official announcement” includes statements made via:Rockstar Games’ official website or blog
Verified Rockstar Games social media accounts
Official Take-Two Interactive earnings calls or press releases
Rumors, leaks, insider reports, or media speculation do NOT count.
Minor clarifications that do not change the release date do not count as delays.
A change from a specific date to a broader window (e.g., “Q4 2026”) does count as a delay if it pushes the launch later than the previously stated date/window.
The market closes and resolves at the moment of GTA 6 launch, or upon an official delay announcement—whichever happens first.