Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Rockstar Games (or its parent company/successor) officially releases a video game titled Grand Theft Auto VII (or Grand Theft Auto 7, or a direct mainline sequel following Grand Theft Auto VI) on or before December 31, 2054, at 11:59 PM UTC.

This market will resolve to NO if the game has not been officially released worldwide on at least one major commercial gaming platform (such as PC, PlayStation, Xbox, or their future equivalent successors) by the cutoff date.

Rules & Edge Cases:

• Definition of Release: "Release" refers to a full public commercial launch (physical or digital) or an official widely accessible public early-access version. Closed betas, leaked builds, tech demos, or trailers do not count.

• Naming: Remasters, spin-offs, mobile-only companion apps, or updates to GTA VI (or GTA Online) do not qualify unless the game is officially branded and marketed as the next mainline numbered entry (i.e., "7" or "VII") in the Grand Theft Auto franchise.

• Cancellation/Bankruptcy: If the franchise is officially canceled, or Rockstar Games and its parent company cease to exist without releasing the game by the deadline, the market will resolve to NO.

• Source of Truth: Official press releases from Rockstar Games (https://www.rockstargames.com) or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, corroborated by major gaming news outlets (such as IGN, GameSpot, or Eurogamer).

Background

Following the development cycle of Grand Theft Auto VI, which is slated for release in late 2026, the gap between mainline releases in the franchise has grown significantly. With over a decade separating GTA V (2013) and GTA VI (2026), this market allows traders to speculate on whether the subsequent generation (GTA VII) will be released within the next three decades, specifically before 2055.

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