MANIFOLD
Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030?
77
Ṁ1kṀ28k
2030
71%
chance

Will result in YES:

If tesla ever reaches market cap of

2 000 000 000 000$ for more than a month by 2030.

Currently:

Market cap is at 758 000 000 000$

Witch is 37.9% of 2T

  • Update 2026-02-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Tesla merges with SpaceX (or presumably any other company), this market will resolve N/A because it would be difficult to determine Tesla's specific portion of the combined market cap.

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If there is a SpaceX merger, how will we account for that?

@HillaryClinton This would resolve as N/A because it would be hard to get the Tesla part of the market cap from the merger.

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