Will democrats pass a major bill while they have a trifecta?
25%
chance
Jan 1, 2023
M$210 bet
Must have >= 48 democrat votes in the senate. Major is defined somewhat loosely, but above $500 billion and gets a lot of press are two important factors. Starting from today so ARP and bipartisan infrastructure does not count. If they manage to hold seats in November I'll update the close date.