If the GOP win a trifecta, will the Senate use the 'Nuclear Option' to break legislative filibuster before Sept '25?
31
1kṀ4753
Sep 2
19%
chance

[If the Republican Party does not win the presidency and a majority in the US Senate and House of Representatives in 2024, this market will resolve N/A]

The United State Senate features a parliamentary procedure known as the filibuster, which requires a three-fifths threshold to invoke cloture and vote.

The rules have been changed several times, including the adoption of a two-track system in the 1960's and altering the rule to exclude judicial and executive branch nominees from the three-fifths threshold in 2013 and 2017.

This question resolves YES if the U.S. Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators duly chosen and sworn, before September 1st, 2025 (ET).

Otherwise, this question resolves NO.

In any cases of ambiguity, this market will refer to the relevant Wikipedia entry to arbitrate the resolution.

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