The market will resolve to YES if by the end of 2024 I can buy an off-the-shelf device with commercial general-purpose AI assistant, which is running on-device, i.e. can answer even when the device is offline. The assistant should be powered by an LLM (i.e. present-day Siri or Alexa don't qualify).
The device/app should be generally available. Releasing it just for alpha-testers does not qualify.
Disclaimer: I will not bet on the market.
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@Amaryllis "Commercial" means that it's released by a commercial company either for a subscription fee, or with a view to monetize it in some other way, or to support the sales of the device on which it runs.
"General-purpose AI assistant": a dialog-based AI that can answer questions and possibly do something useful, like control your phone. Something like ChatGPT or Windows Copilot. Products like Siri, Alexa, Google Assistant would qualify if they a) ran offline, b) were LLM-based.
@OlegEterevsky Gemini Nano can run on a recent Pixel smartphones. Does it resolve the market?
@Amaryllis My bad. Looks like it is generally available. But from what I can tell it only does summarization, so it's not general-purpose.