Resolution criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the newly elected pope officially resides in the Apostolic Palace within 90 days of his election. The market will resolve to "No" if, within that period, the pope chooses an alternative primary residence. Official Vatican announcements or credible news sources will serve as the basis for resolution.
Background:
The Apostolic Palace, also known as the Papal Palace, is the traditional official residence of the pope in Vatican City. Historically, popes have resided in the papal apartments located on the third floor of this palace. However, Pope Francis, elected in 2013, broke with this tradition by choosing to live in the Domus Sanctae Marthae, a guesthouse within Vatican City, citing a preference for a simpler lifestyle and community living. (bbc.com) Additionally, Pope Francis opened the traditional papal summer residence at Castel Gandolfo to the public, opting not to use it himself. (wantedinrome.com) These decisions reflect a shift towards more modest living arrangements for the papacy.
Update 2025-07-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For a Yes resolution, the pope must be physically residing in the Apostolic Palace on or before the 90th day following his election. An official plan or intention to move in is not sufficient if the pope is not physically living there by the deadline.
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@Odoacre I got out of the market when your resolution criteria became clear, so it is what it is, but if you were going to resolve this now it should have been N/A with those criteria. The pope did choose to reside in the apostolic palace, it just requires more than 90 days worth of renovation since it was vacant for the entire last papacy. It doesn’t seem like the criteria are really in the spirit of the question here.
@bens When I placed my bet, the criteria were “yes if the pope takes up residence within 90 days, no if he selects an alternate residence”. I bet yes. Later, when I pointed out that the intent to reside there had been established but had been delayed for renovation, and I asked for clarification and was told that “no” would also be the resolution if he isn’t residing in the apostolic palace within 90 days even if that’s because it’s being renovated and he intends to take up residence there afterwards, I sold my position.
@Driftloom all I can find is news of him planning to move in, but no clear info he is actually living there now, do you have evidence?
@Odoacre I’m looking, but all I can find is that the move in may be delayed for renovations. He’s at the summer residence right now. So how does that resolve in your view? If he intends to live there but it will take until fall to be ready, does that resolve yes, no, or N/A?