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Will China's navy still be the largest in the world in 2025?
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resolved Mar 11
Resolved
YES

The People's Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) surpassed the US Navy in fleet size sometime around 2020 and now has around 340 warships, according to the Pentagon's 2022 China Military Power Report, released in November. China's fleet is expected to grow to 400 ships by 2025.

Market closes at the end of 2025. Might resolve later if no data is yet available.

Navy size is measured by number of active ships.

Sources of data will be a similar Pentagon report, or suitable alternative if that's unavailable or outdated.

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I went with China vs United States Navy Fleets Comparison 2026 https://www.globalmilitary.net/compare/navies/chn-vs-usa/

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