China is daring Trump to go ahead and increase the tariffs above the current 145% level

"The successive imposition of excessively high tariffs on China by the US has become nothing more than a numbers game, with no real economic significance," a spokesperson for China's Commerce Ministry said in a statement on Friday.

Will he go for it ?

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to YES if the United States imposes tariffs on Chinese goods that exceed 150% at any point. It resolves to NO if tariffs on Chinese goods remain at or below 150% until the market's closing date.

To qualify, tariff changes need to go in effect, not merely be annouced.

• Update 2025-04-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Update from creator

Clarified Resolution Criteria:

• The market resolves to YES only if the United States imposes tariffs on Chinese goods that exceed 150% at any point.

• Extra tariff measures on limited categories (e.g., aluminum cans or canned beer) do not count unless they specifically target Chinese goods.

• The intent is to focus on tariff actions affecting Chinese goods even though the wording of the criteria could be interpreted more broadly.