Will the Ukraine war be over by the end of 2023?
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resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Possible criteria:

  1. An agreement where both sides agree on a final resolution.

  2. Russia withdraws all troops from Ukraine without an agreement.

  3. The Ukranian/Russian government collapses/surrenders.

  4. A ceasefire agreement is held for over 6 months (only the start date needs to be within 2023).

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bought Ṁ50 of NO

Easy money

predicted NO

The political will of Ukraine would NOT tolerate a ceasefire agreement that ceded territory. This was one of Zelenskyy's biggest criticisms, and public opposition to the idea has only grown massively since.

bought Ṁ20 of YES

Of course it will be, by Autumn they will atleast try to take Crimea.

How will you judge the 6 months of a ceasefire relative to 2023. Will a ceasefire that starts in December and lasts until June 2024 resolve yes?

predicted YES

@MattReardon Yes, from the start of the ceasefire.