2
Will the Ukraine war be over by the end of 2023?
O avatar
TX ⚜️
232
closes Dec 31
11%
chance

Possible criteria:

  1. An agreement where both sides agree on a final resolution.

  2. Russia withdraws all troops from Ukraine without an agreement.

  3. The Ukranian/Russian government collapses/surrenders.

  4. A ceasefire agreement is held for over 6 months (only the start date needs to be within 2023).

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BrentTollman avatar
Brent Tollmanbought Ṁ50 of NO

Easy money

BenjaminIkuta avatar
Benjamin Ikutais predicting NO at 19%

The political will of Ukraine would NOT tolerate a ceasefire agreement that ceded territory. This was one of Zelenskyy's biggest criticisms, and public opposition to the idea has only grown massively since.

RobertMiedzic avatar
Robert Miedzicbought Ṁ20 of YES

Of course it will be, by Autumn they will atleast try to take Crimea.

MattReardon avatar
Matt Reardon

How will you judge the 6 months of a ceasefire relative to 2023. Will a ceasefire that starts in December and lasts until June 2024 resolve yes?

O avatar
TX ⚜️is predicting YES at 13%

@MattReardon Yes, from the start of the ceasefire.

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