Will the Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute be alive by the end of 2022?
Basic
12
Ṁ695resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves positively if there are two or more FTEs working for the Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute (QURI, https://quantifieduncertainty.org/) by end of year.
Feb 1, 12:38pm: FTEs = full-time-equivalents.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the Center for AI Safety run another large-scale philosophy research fellowship in 2024?
32% chance
Will I (co)write an AI safety research paper by the end of 2024?
45% chance
How much money will QURI raise from Sep 2023 to Dec 2024?
How many research groups will have claimed to have achieved a "quantum advantage" on quantum computers by end 2024?
Will I think that the Belief State Geometry research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?
31% chance
Will a plausible post-quantum proof obfuscator be found by end of 2024?
30% chance
Will the 1Day Sooner Safe Air Research Alliance have at least 1 tech installation/study in progress by the end of 2024?
21% chance
Will Redwood Research still exist in 2 years?
79% chance
Will the Machine Intelligence Research Institute exist in 2030?
82% chance
Will Jacob Pfau think that the Eliciting Latent Knowledge research program has achieved something important by October 20, 2026?
30% chance