The market resolves to YES if a formal peace agreement or armistice between the two is signed before the end of 2025. The war will not be considered to have ended in the case of a temporary ceasefire (inspired by Nicola Wilson's market).

Related market:

• Update 2025-05-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification from the creator:

  • Only a formally ratified peace treaty will count for a YES resolution.