
This will resolve to Yes if a notable sexual assault allegation is made against Ron DeSantis before the 2024 election, on a level of credibility similar to other accusations against political figures such as Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Brett Kavanaugh.
Conditions that will result in a Yes resolution:
There is a presistent Wikipedia article or subsection called "Ron DeSantis sexual assault allegation(s)" or similar
The New York Times, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal, or similar high-profile national newspaper publishes a story primarily about a sexual assault allegation against Ron DeSantis.
Close date updated to 2024-11-05 11:59 pm
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I created the conditional-on-nomination version here: https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/conditional-on-desantis-winning-the
