Conditional on DeSantis winning the nomination, will he be accused of sexual assault before the 2024 Election?
7
220Ṁ159resolved Jun 18
Resolved
N/A1D
1W
1M
ALL
Conditional version of https://manifold.markets/AB72ce/will-ron-desantis-be-accused-of-sex
Resolves the same as that market if DeSantis wins the GOP presidential nomination. Resolves N/A if DeSantis doesn't win the GOP presidential nomination.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
My interpretation of the large difference between the conditional and unconditional markets is that post-nomination political motivations will bring untrustworthy accusers out of the woodwork. Surely being Florida governor would be enough motivation to accuse if the accusations were legit.
@EMcNeill no, but I could create finer conditional markets that depend on the order of events if people want that